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Open Talk Forum General Category General Discussion Topic: New law for the illegals? 0 Members and 2 Guests are viewing this topic. « previous next »
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Author Topic: New law for the illegals?  (Read 1847 times)
« Reply #105 on: June 11, 2010, 10:44:47 PM »
Offline RIVERS
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Greenspan wasn't around when TARP was passed; he hasn't been the Fed Chairman since...what...2004 or 2005? Paulson and Bernanke were the two Administration officials who met with the banks (although, technically, Bernanke's not really part of the Administration) .

You seem confused (or maybe just confusing) here. First you say there were no stipulations when the funds were initially passed out; now you say there were stipulations and that somehow those stipulations were what made the banks take the money??

The fact is, Paulson required the banks to take the money and that "offer" included stipulations from the beginning. Those included restrictions on executive compensation (albeit much less well-defined than the later changes made by the Obama Administration; Paulson was acting under the gun, so little wonder he was a little short on specifics), a prohibition on golden parachutes for senior executives, clawback provisions for bonuses paid to executives that were based on faulty earnings statements, etc. and an agreement not to deduct bonuses/salaries in excess of $500K per executive.

 Uh...no, I really can't.  Wink

Wrong. See above. Yes, additional changes were made after the initial distribution of funds. For that matter, the purpose for which those funds were used also changed.
 Some of those changes were initiated while Bush was still in office; others after. But, I don't see what that has to do with the question of whether the government forced the banks to take the money regardless of the banks' needs or wishes.

First of all, are you familiar with the concept of a time bomb? Because, essentially, that's what was planted into the mortgage (and, by extension) the investment banking systems -- beginning in the 1970's but really in the late '90's. The fact this time bomb exploded on Bush's watch doesn't reallly make it his fault , now does it?

Second, for all his many faults, Bush did, in fact, see signs of this bubble bursting. As early as 2004, he was warning about impending doom wth Fannie and Freddie and was urging Congress to do something to avert a disaster. People like Barnie Frank, Chris Dodd and the Republican majority ignored his warnings and some (Frank, in particular) even went so far as to proclaim predictions of such a disaster essentially nonsense -- saying Freddie and Fannie were in absolutely no danger.
 
Good for them. What does that have to do with anything?

Traditional Savings and Loans went out the window in the '80s...they weren't around for this debacle.
Again, the seeds for the current crisis were planted before W took office. The Greenspan easy money policy was a contributing factor for sure. Then, again, the tight money policy he pursued in the early '90's -- out of an overwrought fear of inflation -- contributed to the '91-'92 recession. But, he also presided as Fed Chairman during the remainder of the '90's as well. So, for his part in all of those situations, I guess you could say he had mixed results.

Where do I begin.

For starters Greenspan was Fed Chair up until Jan 31, 2006...now that leaves some 'inaccuracies' and flags right away, no matter.

Regardless...if (as you say) Bush had seen the 'warning signs' years before?...that makes him all the more culpable, for if he saw the signs (as you say), yet did nothing?---wouldn't that make him worse than just being a stupid hick?Huh??

To 'parrot' financial deals that were already in place (regarding bonuses, financial investmentment house bonuses and what-not is bogus, as I think you would agree. These were contractual obligations.)

But let's not 'switch'

I have never had a problem with thier compensation...folks that did were uninformed.

That's about water that has flowed under the bridge.



I missed your point somewhere.
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« Reply #106 on: June 12, 2010, 12:54:19 PM »
Offline ren032665
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Where do I begin.

For starters Greenspan was Fed Chair up until Jan 31, 2006...now that leaves some 'inaccuracies' and flags right away, no matter.

Regardless...if (as you say) Bush had seen the 'wversion of arning signs' years before?...that makes him all the more culpable, for if he saw the signs (as you say), yet did nothing?---wouldn't that make him worse than just being a stupid hick?Huh??


Speaking of "gibberish," what the hell is this post?!?  Wink

Like I said, Greenspan wasn't around for the bailouts. Did he contribute to the problem that resulted in the bailouts? Yes. As Fed Chair, he was responsible for the historically-low interest rates that helped fuel the housing bubble. He may have been consulted during the bailouts -- don't know about that. But, as far as being in the room when Paulson and Bernanke met with the bankers (which is what you had implied), he wasn't. And I don't think he had any active role in creating TARP (that was something Paulson wrote essentially on a napkin --figuratively-speaking) or in modifying it after the fact (again, he may have been consulted behind the scenes -- don't know; at that point, though, I think his reputation was too tarnished to make that very likely).

As for Bush, he had limited ability to change the situation. Congress needed to act and it didn't -- at least not until it was too late. In truth, once the bubble is created, there's not much anyone can do to avoid the correction that will inevitably   happen. That's the reality that no one wants to face. Housing prices are still over-valued (on average). Yet, we continue to see the Fed keeping interest rates low. Sounds like hair-of-the-dog economics to me.

The other reality no one wants to face is that this bubble originated -- not with the bankers or politicians -- but with us. The bankers and politicians responded to what we demanded of them. Did they always act responsibly or ethically? No. But, we want to blame them for the entire ball of wax, yet ignore the fact that we wanted to live beyond our means (with no consequences), we wanted to buy homes we couldn't afford, we wanted to believe that it was wise to put no money down on a mortgage with artificially low teaser interest rates (or other exotic mortgage schemes), we wanted to believe that housing prices would continue to grow at rates far above any reasonable historical trend lines (and do so ad infinitum) and we wanted to believe that the party would never end (or, that when it did, we wouldn't have to worry about cleaning up).

To 'parrot' financial deals that were already in place (regarding bonuses, financial investmentment house bonuses and what-not is bogus, as I think you would agree. These were contractual obligations.)

But let's not 'switch'

I have never had a problem with thier compensation...folks that did were uninformed.

That's about water that has flowed under the bridge.

I missed your point somewhere.

Okay...I don't know what you mean by "'parrot' financial deals that were already in place." The stipulation in TARP to which I think you are referring was saying that if those financial deals were based on deliberately misleading (i.e., fraudulent) financial statements, then the government was going to take back ("clawback" is a legal term of art for such a thing) those bonuses. That provision was in the original TARP.

I wasn't switching topics. You had said that TARP had no stipulations in it until Geitner and Bernanke added them later (of course, then you said it did have stipulations, so I have no idea what you really understand about it). I pointed out that TARP did have stipulations from the beginning. I think we agree, now, there were stipulations (unless you change your mind again  Wink).

My only issues with the compensation packages were the degree to which they encouraged irresponsible decisions and were based on fraudulent (or, at least, grossly optimistic) financial statements. Truth be told, I don't think anyone running these banks really knew what the value of their assests were (and many probably still don't). In part, this is due to the whole mortgage-bundling process and in part to the accounting regulations in place that forced banks to value assets in a backward-looking manner. Just because home values had been rising at multiples of normal rates of appreciation for six or seven years prior to the bubble bursting doesn't mean they would continue to do so. But, accounting rules said that was how projected future value of assets were to be calculated, without  regard to the likely effects of changing circumstances. Kind of like driving by looking only in your rear-view mirror.

My point is this. Laying the blame for this mess at the feet of any one person is ignorant. Expecting to get out of this mess without some serious economic pain and without changing the fundamental attitudes and policies that got us here is stupid. Politicians will pander to us and tell us they have the solutions; they don't. They are a big part of the problem and the more they try to avoid the downsides, the bigger problems we're going to face down the road.
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